James Talarico Leads in Texas Senate Race Against Ken Paxton
Democrat james talarico holds a polling edge over Republican ken paxton in the closely watched Texas Senate contest, the marquee race of the 2026 midterms.

Democrat james talarico holds a polling edge over Republican ken paxton as the Texas Senate race draws near. The contest, widely regarded as the marquee midterm battle, pits a former teacher and state representative against the three‑term attorney general.
Is Talarico Winning?
Recent polls referenced by PBS indicate that paxton is behind talarico, but the final result remains uncertain while votes are still being tallied. No Democrat has won a statewide office in Texas since 1994, making any lead noteworthy.
James Talarico vs Ken Paxton
The two candidates represent starkly different political paths. Talarico, a state representative from the Austin suburbs, emphasizes faith‑based values, public‑school support, and addressing the cost of living. Paxton, the incumbent attorney general, carries the endorsement of former President Donald Trump and a record of statewide campaigns.
Ken Paxton's Political History
Ken paxton served three terms as Texas attorney general. In 2023 he faced impeachment by the Texas House but was acquitted by the state Senate. He secured the Republican nomination by defeating Sen. John Cornyn in a May primary runoff, a rare loss for a sitting Texas senator since 1970.
Texas Senate Race Background
The race gained national attention as the only statewide contest where a Democrat appears competitive. Talarico, a former middle‑school teacher and seminarian, won the Democratic primary outright against Rep. Jasmine Crockett in March. His campaign focuses on education, faith, and economic concerns. Paxton's campaign leans on his long‑standing law‑enforcement record and Trump's endorsement.
Live coverage of vote counts and fact‑checking can be followed on PBS and other outlets. For real‑time updates, see U.S. Senate Midterm Live Election Results Offer Early State Insights.
What Comes Next?
As polls close, the Texas electorate will determine whether a Democrat can break the decades‑long statewide streak. Should talarico maintain his lead, the race could signal shifting political dynamics in Texas. Conversely, a paxton victory would reaffirm the Republican hold on statewide offices. The final certification of results is expected in the coming days, and analysts will watch closely for implications on the broader 2026 midterm landscape.
Sources: PBS, CBS News, The New York Times.



